As I sit down to analyze the prospects for the Wisconsin Badgers men's basketball team this season, I can't help but draw parallels to what we've witnessed in collegiate basketball's other major conferences. Having followed college basketball for over fifteen years, I've developed a keen eye for spotting teams that have that special combination of talent, coaching, and chemistry needed for a memorable season. The Badgers are entering this campaign with what I believe could be their most promising roster since their 2015 Final Four run, and I'm genuinely excited about what lies ahead.
When I look at this Wisconsin squad, the first thing that jumps out is their returning core. The Badgers bring back approximately 78% of their scoring from last season's team that finished 22-13 and reached the NCAA Tournament's second round. That kind of continuity is becoming increasingly rare in today's transfer portal era, and it gives them a significant advantage early in the season while other teams are still building chemistry. Steven Crowl, in my opinion, is poised for a breakout year after averaging 12.1 points and 6.9 rebounds last season. At 7-foot, his ability to stretch the floor while maintaining a presence in the paint creates matchup nightmares that I think few Big Ten teams are prepared to handle.
The backcourt situation particularly fascinates me this year. Chucky Hepburn returns for his junior season, and having watched nearly every game he's played at Wisconsin, I can confidently say he's one of the most underrated point guards in the country. His assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.8-to-1 last season doesn't fully capture his value – his defensive intensity and basketball IQ are what truly set him apart. I've been particularly impressed with how he's developed his outside shot, improving from 34% to nearly 41% from three-point range between his freshman and sophomore years. That kind of progression suggests he's put in the work during the offseason, and I expect him to take another significant leap forward.
What really gets me excited, though, is the addition of transfer AJ Storr from St. John's. Having watched his development over the past year, I'm convinced he brings exactly what Wisconsin needed – explosive scoring ability. Last season, the Badgers sometimes struggled to create offense in late-clock situations, and Storr's ability to get his own shot should solve that problem. I'm predicting he'll average around 15 points per game and become that go-to scorer every successful team needs. His athleticism adds a dimension that Wisconsin hasn't had in recent years, and I think it will make their offense much more dynamic.
The development of Connor Essegian is another storyline I'm monitoring closely. After a stellar freshman campaign where he averaged 11.7 points and shot 36% from deep, he took a bit of a step back last season. But from what I've seen in offseason workouts and the limited preseason action, he appears to have regained his confidence and added strength. If he can return to form, Wisconsin suddenly has one of the deepest backcourts in the conference. I've always believed shooters go through slumps, but true shooters never lose their stroke permanently, and I'm betting on Essegian bouncing back in a big way.
When I compare this Wisconsin team to other successful programs, I'm reminded of how important roster construction is in modern college basketball. Looking at standout performers from other conferences, like those we saw in UAAP Season 87 and NCAA Season 100, the common thread among successful teams is having multiple players who can create their own shot while fitting within a system. Wisconsin appears to have found that balance this season. They have the system guys who understand Greg Gard's swing offense perfectly, complemented by the explosive athletes who can make plays outside the structure. This combination, in my experience watching college basketball over the years, is what separates good teams from great ones.
The frontcourt depth might be my only slight concern heading into the season. While Crowl is established and Tyler Wahl provides veteran leadership, I'm not completely sold on the depth behind them. Chris Hodges showed flashes last season, but asking him to play significant minutes in big games might be risky. I wouldn't be surprised if Gard experiments with smaller lineups featuring Wahl at the five in certain situations, especially against teams that play at a faster pace. This approach could create some interesting matchup advantages, though it might cost them on the defensive glass.
Defensively, I expect Wisconsin to maintain their trademark discipline and fundamentals. Under Gard, they've consistently ranked among the best in the country at limiting opponents' scoring opportunities and forcing tough shots. Last season, they held opponents to just 65.3 points per game, which ranked fourth in the Big Ten. With most of their core defenders returning, I anticipate similar effectiveness this year. Their ability to defend without fouling has always impressed me – they committed the second-fewest fouls in the conference last season – and that discipline pays huge dividends in close games.
Looking at the broader Big Ten landscape, I'm predicting Wisconsin finishes in the top four of the conference and earns somewhere between a 4-6 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The conference appears more balanced than in recent years, with Purdue losing key pieces and Michigan State reloading rather than rebuilding. This creates an opportunity for Wisconsin to make some noise. Their non-conference schedule includes challenging games against Marquette and Virginia, which should provide early tests and opportunities for quality wins that will look good on their tournament resume come March.
As the season tips off, what I find most compelling about this Wisconsin team is their blend of experience and new talent. They have the veterans who understand what it takes to win in the Big Ten, combined with fresh faces who bring different skills to the table. In my years covering college basketball, I've learned that teams with this profile often exceed expectations because they can win in multiple ways. They can grind out low-possession games with their half-court execution, but they also have the athletes to push tempo when opportunities arise. This versatility will serve them well throughout what promises to be another grueling Big Ten campaign. While I'm trying to temper my excitement, I genuinely believe this could be a special season in Madison, one that Badgers fans will remember for years to come.
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